Australia now second in Eurovision odds

Australia’s Kate Miller-Heidke is now second favourite to win at the Eurovision Song Contest in Tel Aviv.

“Zero Gravity” is only trailing consistent favourite The Netherlands’ Duncan Laurence with “Arcade.”

Australia’s rise from being a rank outsider, at around #23 to #2, is a credit to producers Blink TV, SBS and Kate Miller-Heidke. Her bold move to mount the sway pole sent us skyhigh….

But there are still hurdles to overcome. Eurovision is like a force of nature in which a stunning spectacle can capture the imagination just as much as a still, soft song number in a sea of wind machines and outlandish costumes. A bum note can derail. A performer who is charismatic can connect.

Politics is also a factor. There are still comments on fan forums objecting to Australia in the contest. In the last two years we have struggled with the public vote, only faring respectably due to the jury votes.

There are also reports producers instructed juries to only vote based on the song itself, not the staging. This is due to juries voting on Dress Rehearsals where there were technical issues. If true for the Final it could be critical to our entry which is reliant on staging as well as performance and composition.

The broadcast begins at 5am AEST Sunday on SBS and includes Live voting (repeated 8:30pm Sunday).

TV Tonight will be publishing Live results.

#CountryArtistSong title
1 MaltaMichela PaceChameleon
2 AlbaniaJonida MaliqiKtheju tokës
3 Czech RepublicLake MalawiFriend of a friend
4 GermanyS!stersSister
5 RussiaSergey LazarevScream
6 DenmarkLeonoraLove is forever
7 San MarinoSerhatSay na na na
8 FYR MacedoniaTamara TodevskaProud
9 SwedenJohn LundvikToo late for love
10 SloveniaZala Kralj & Gašper ŠantlSebi
11 CyprusTamtaReplay
12 The NetherlandsDuncan LaurenceArcade
13 GreeceKaterine DuskaBetter love
14 IsraelKobi MarimiHome
15 NorwayKEiiNOSpirit in the sky
16 United KingdomMichael RiceBigger than us
17 IcelandHatariHatrið mun sigra
18 EstoniaVictor CroneStorm
19 BelarusZENALike it
20 AzerbaijanChingizTruth
21 FranceBilal HassaniRoi
22 ItalyMahmoodSoldi
23 SerbiaNevena BožovićKruna
24 SwitzerlandLuca HänniShe got me
25 AustraliaKate Miller-HeidkeZero gravity
26 SpainMikiLa venda

Interval act: Madonna (“Like a Prayer” & “Future” are the rumoured songs)

Guests: Conchita Wurst will perform “Heroes”, Måns Zelmerlöw with “Fuego”, Eleni Foureira with “Dancing Lasha Tumbai”, Verka Serduchka with “Toy”, Gali Atari with “Hallelujah” and Netta Barzilai with “Nana Banana”. Netta Barzilai, Dana International with “Diva” and “Tel Aviv”, Nadav Guedj with “Golden Boy” and Ilanit. Idan Raichel will perform “Bo’ee – Come to Me” together with the twenty-six finalists, while Miss Israel 2004 Gal Gadot will also appear.

16 Comments:

  1. Kate did very well and did Australia proud, Eurovision: Australia Decides was the best thing that SBS could have created for us! Netherlands had so much great support and a great song, they did deserve to win…

  2. On a more serious note David. I understand the winning country hosts Eurovision the following year. If by chance Australia wins this contest will we host next year or will it default to a European country. I’d imagine the producers would love the chance to take this event downunder and let’s not forget the value in tourism dollars that is associated with Eurovision.

      • There was a rumour after Dami’s second place that we’d had a deal with Germany in case she won.

        I’d love us to go with a minnow like Malta or San Marino, but obviously there’s a million practicalities that make a bigger nation more likely.

        (we could give it to the UK, just to make them squirm!)

          • Germany and the United Kingdom are the first choices for Australia to partner with should they win Eurovision. That is the agreement in place as I understand it.

    • It’s not really confirmed. The deal (more like a “what if” scenario) was for 2015 when Australia had their “one off” appearance. Since then the EBU ignores their own eligibility rules to keep inviting Australia, and they’ve been very quiet on the “what if” for 3 years now. A ESC in Australia could be irresistible to them. They main hurdle is a 5am broadcast time. Probably SBS will just play it safe and host in London, or possibly hand it to the second placed song.

        • A slight correction: you must be a full member, and you can only be a full member by being in the European Broadcasting Area (extends into Middle East and north Africa) or in the Council of Europe. There are 20 other associates like Kazakhstan, China, NZ, Canada & Brazil, yet where’s their invitation.Kazakhstan really want in.
          ebu.ch/about/members?type=associate
          Quote: “It is important to note that associate membership does not grant access to the Eurovision system.”

          • Sorry no. In 2016 EBU allowed for associate members at their discretion. Eurovision change their rules every year and has done since it began. So while associate membership is not automatic admission, Australia is 100% eligible.

  3. odds-wise, it’s the Netherlands to lose. There’s daylight between them and second place (currently Australia). It’s been a long while since a raging favourite like that at this stage of proceedings failed to take the crown.

    • Exactly. That’s the real story. The second place is far less important than the odds difference. NL at $1.60 to AU at $7 is like a horse race with Winx in it. It’s a shame so much media don’t provide the complete picture.

    • Ok, well let’s all agree to not vote the Netherlands – Sure it will be a drop in the ocean but we can put our thumb on the scales.

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