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Four Corners: Oct 31

On Monday, "War Games" explores what conflict with China would mean for Australia.

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On Monday Four Corners reporter Angus Grigg investigates how a war between China and Taiwan would play out.

“If war breaks out, it will be total war . . Don’t think by providing air bases in the northern part of Australia it will be saving Australia” Chinese insider

Tensions between China and the United States over Taiwan are the highest since the 1970s. With President Xi Jinping publicly warning he will take Taiwan by force if necessary, military strategists are now war gaming just what such an act of aggression would mean for the Pacific and Australia.

“In a potential conflict with China over Taiwan, there is a chance that Australia could become a target. Particularly if Australia were to join the fight directly or were to provide additional over flight and access rights to U.S. forces.” US military strategist

On Monday Four Corners reporter Angus Grigg investigates how a war between China and Taiwan would play out. He talks to the experts who are mapping the war games and the impact they would have.

“It is likely to go on for weeks, if not months, if not longer. And as that happens, you’re going to have continued fighting and loss of life, not only for the United States and its allies and partners and China, but also on the ground in Taiwan with some of the civilians who are going to suffer the most from this conflict.” US military strategist

Some strategists are predicting an assault on Taiwan by China could happen as early as 2025. In any future conflict Australia would play a key role.

“We are willing to be the tip of the spear, to provide a base, not just for U.S. Marines, but most importantly, for their long-range power projection of heavy bombers. It’s very hard to think of a more open commitment that we could make, a more open signal to the Chinese that we are going along with American planning for a war with China.” Defence and security analyst

As President Xi secures an unprecedented third term in office there are warnings that it’s now a question of when not if a conflict over Taiwan will occur.

“Do I think the current environment is the most dangerous I’ve seen in my lifetime? That is a big question. I’ve had a long lifetime. . . . . In terms of this part of the world, this is the most dangerous situation I’ve experienced.” Former defence intelligence official

Monday 31st October at 8.30pm on ABC.

One Response

  1. It’s interesting that a propaganda war of sorts is already running on YouTube with a lot of negative commentary supposedly by global economists predicting that the Chinese economy is near collapse, now this would be damaging to Australia if it were true. As far as a war in Taiwan is concerned the US have made it clear that they would not remain idle, it is an ideological imperative to keep China militarily in check, strategically the Chinese are in a similar situation militarily as Russia, so any conventional war would not end well no matter how you look at it. The global economy would definitely have a crash dive in its current weak position.

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